Saturday, January 21, 2006

Dates For Terror


Likely dates for terror
Clues suggest pattern to al-Qaida attacks


Top level

G2 Headlines
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© 2005 G2 Bulletin
Publishing date: 19.01.2006 21:50
There’s chatter, again, in the terror world. All kinds of clues suggest al-Qaida is about to strike at the West – probably in the U.S.

Ayman al-Zawahiri: Significance to release dates of videos? Some intelligence source point to specific dates as likely targets. And then there are the patterns of previous attacks to evaluate.

Some intelligence analysts are noting the significance of the release of videos recently by both Osama bin Laden and Ayman al-Zawahiri. Zawahiri released his last video Jan. 6, making Feb. 5 the most likely target date, according to past attacks. But then what is the significance of Bin Laden’s video?

Some analysts suggest it might be the precursor to a mega-attack – something even rivaling Sept. 11 in scope and devastation. But there does seem to be an unmistakable pattern involved in the release of videos and al-Qaida attacks. Zawahiri, bin Laden’s right-hand man, who narrowly escaped death in the Pakistani missile attack several days ago, seems to release videos in pairs.

After the release of the second video, within 30 days a major event occurs. For instance: * release dates of Sept 9 and Nov. 9, 2004, were the first set of videos, followed by the Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, bombings Dec. 6. * release dates of Feb. 20 and June 26, 2005, were followed by the July 7, 2005, London bombings.

* release dates of Aug. 4 and Sept 1, 2005, were followed by the Bali bombings Oct. 1, 2005. The next set started Oct. 23, 2005, and last week on Jan. 6, the second video followed. That, suggests some analysts, makes Feb. 5 a likely target date. Interestingly, it is also a significant date to bin Laden. Feb. 5, 1989, was the day the last Soviet troops withdrew from Kabul, Afghanistan, signaling their defeat at the hand of the mujahedeen.

Kabul was the capital of Osama's adopted country and was a major win for him and Islam. Significantly, perhaps, in bin Laden’s audio release he referenced the U.S withdrawing from Iraq and Afghanistan. It also happens to be Super Bowl Sunday, when the eyes of the entire world will be watching America. Unrelated to the pattern, but also mentioned by G2B sources as a date to watch is this Monday – Jan. 23. This is a date reportedly heard in terrorist “chatter” recently.

No other information is available as to its significance or potential targets.

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